Hey traders! It’s been a crazy day. Since yesterday a lot of traders have made some risky trades. With less than two days left, they must have felt that it is the last moment to make it big.

Some have managed to absolutely kill it, while others lost it all in the process. If I had to point to one market that made the most difference, it’s the US vs Belgium World Cup game. After an incredible run by America, losing 4-1 to Belgium came as a shock, not only for the players, but also for traders.

With 24 hours left let’s see who made it big!

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Quick Rules Summary

Finalists go 1v1, seeded by group score. Both traders reset to $500 for a short head-to-head window; whoever makes more profit advances. Single elimination, until one champion is left.

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Best Trade of the Day

The best trade of the day title goes to Maskache. He made $1,276 predicting the highest temperature in Shenzhen. Only wether traders can make so much in such a short time.

Congrats!

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Worst Trade of the Day

The worst trade of the day title goes to Mirza:

Despite enjoying a $311 lead over his opponent, this trader decided to risk it all on the US vs Belgium World Cup game and is left with nothing as a result.

While he needs to bid farewell to the tournament, he is leaving with a respectable $500 in profit from the tournament. Congrats!

Round of 32

Mirza vs PROPHET

In a surprising turn of events, Mirza lost his lead and is now $493 in the red, effectively losing his entire bankroll! While I’ve been inactive, Mirza traded the US vs Belgium World Cup game, predicting that the US will win.

While I admire the confidence, Belgium bested the host and with 24 hours of trading left, I’m in the lead!

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Maskache vs Mosesfan

Maskache had a killer day on prediction markets. He went as high as $3,000 in profit, to finally settle at $1,316. Weather trading, while volatile, is an extremely lucrative strategy for some of the traders we see in the tournament.

Mosesfan, with no edge in weather markets, can do little to achieve such a great result. With a very respectable $158 in profit from just three days of trading, he will need to wave goodbye to the tournament soon.

Raskell vs CoffeeLover_pm

CoffeLover_pm and Raskell have both been trading World Cup markets to try and get an advantage. Both ended up going head to head for majority of the time, more than tripling their starting bankroll in the process. In the last couple of hours, however, CoffeLover_pm fell behind Raskell, who now has a staggering $1,683 in profit to top the global leaderboard.

It’s a truly astonishing performance from both traders. It feels like a foretaste of the final! It will be a shame to bid farewell to either one of them.

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0X357 vs PMKFund

0X357, contrary to Mirza from the first duel, knew when to take it easy. After making $1,234 predicting weather across the world, he stopped trading as PMKFund is inactive and extremely unlikely to make up the difference.

With 24 hours to go some of the duels already have a clear winner.

BeefSlayer_ vs 0xd1namit

BeefSlayer_ is another weather trader who has absolutely dominated the tournament. 0xd1namit had a great run, and there’s probably nothing more that I can say that he hasn’t said himself:

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bernardbulletin vs Splunksy

Bernardbulletin is proving that he is a versatile trader. After a dismal start, bernardbulletin, lacking his favorite election markets, has focused on mention markets. He managed to reverse his fortune and doubled the starting bankroll in the process.

Splunksy probably thought that $245 profit is enough to cruise to the Round of 16. After all, he’s been inactive since yesterday. Now, however, he will need to turn back to weather markets in hopes he can make enough to overtake bernardbulletin.

aenews vs wisechinamann

After meeting on the opposite side of one trade, wisechinamann opted for patience as he had over $200 lead over aenews. However, the OG trader managed to cut the lead down to $60.

This is a gap that can be easily closed. The last 24 hours will be crucial for this duel and we will only know the winner once the round ends.

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Fuentes 99 vs xeny-

Both xeny- and Fuentes99 are inactive after the latter made $193 in the first day. It looks like xeny- has just forfeited the duel, but who knows, maybe the last 24 hours will bring us a surprise.

sonix vs thonka

sonix is the second trader today to have lost it all on the US vs Belgium World Cup game. Traders put the US as a slight favorite, while in the end Belgium won 4-1, absolutely dominating the game.

In the meantime, thonka is slowly building their P&L and can be sure now to advance to the Round of 16.

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Rex416 vs attenonthephone

atteonthephone and Rex416 were very close to each other yesterday. However, the weather gods were not kind to atteonthephone as he has lost $850 since the last recap.

It’s one of few duels in which a weather trader got bested.

WeatherOnly vs green

green remains inactive, thus WeatherOnly is taking it easy and securing his place in the Round of 16.

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Kween vs whiggeries

Same can be said about this duel. While whiggeries is active, his $25 in profit is well short of Kween, another weather trader with $461 in profit.

I see very little chance of change here.

n0rulesnvr vs HondaCivic

n0rulesnvr is doing his best, but being matched against a top weather trader like HondaCivic is tough:

Based on this X post we can expect HondaCivic to advance to the Round of 16. However, n0rulesnvr had a great run in this tournament. Congrats!

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PeterParker3Hive vs OnlyLuckNoBrain

This duel has concluded yesterday after PeterParker3Hive lost it all. OnlyLuckNoBrain has an extended break ahead of the Round of 16.

Arrth vs ClydeCash

ClydeCash, after a dismal performance in Week 3, is back on the top. With $219 in profit from trading World Cup markets he’s well ahead of Arrth.

Arrth is trying his luck on various markets, but it seems that the gap might be too wide to bridge.

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strider_pm vs Joker_Poly

Situation remains unchanged in the last duel. I think we can say that it’s Joker_Poly who will advance to the Round of 16 as strider_pm remains inactive and $436 behind Joker_Poly.

Wrap Up

That’s all for today! With 24 hours to go some duels seem to have already resolved. With such a fast pace of the tournament it’s only logical that some traders are willing to risk it all to advance to the next stage.

However, some matchups are still going head to head so see you tomorrow for another HIVE World Cup Recap!

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This is not official investment or life advice. Do your own research. These are only my opinions and I encourage anyone to do their own research before putting any money anywhere.

Hey traders! It’s been a wild day. Some traders managed to almost quadruple their bankroll, while others lost it all and are out of the tournament! We now have some clear favorites as beyond the matchups, traders are on a mission to prove they are the best every single day.

Let’s see who can already be sure to advance to the next stage!

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Quick Rules Summary

Finalists go 1v1, seeded by group score. Both traders reset to $500 for a short head-to-head window; whoever makes more profit advances. Single elimination, until one champion is left.

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Best Trade of the Day

0X357 has absolutely dominated the day. Despite being matched against an inactive trader, they made $1,482 predicting the highest temperature in the NYC and are now the best out of 32 traders.

Congrats!

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Worst Trade of the Day

The worst trade of the day goes to PeterParker3Hive.

They lost $569 wrongly predicting the outcome of Mexico vs England World Cup game and are now effectively out of the tournament. However, they’ve made $1,483 overall in the tournament so all in all they had a great run!

Round of 32

Mirza vs PROPHET

Mirza feels safe with $311 profit as I’m yet to make any trade. However, I do plan on trading today to give Mirza a run for their money.

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Maskache vs Mosesfan

After a mediocre day, Maskache showed us why they were placed second overall in the Group Stage. With $296 profit trading weather markets, they are now well ahead of Mosesfan who didn’t really trade in the last 24 hours and sits on $46 profit.

Mosesfan will have a tough job now trying to catch up.

Raskell vs CoffeeLover_pm

CoffeLover_pm and Raskell are going head to head. Both have almost tripled their bankroll and have only $42 between them. And both have made over $470 correctly predicting the outcome of the Mexico vs England World Cup game.

This duel is the most exciting in the Round of 32 giving us a foretaste of the final!

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0X357 vs PMKFund

After a bad day, 0X357 is on an absolute roll. They don’t seem to care that PMKFund is inactive. With $1,236 they have more than tripled the starting bankroll and showed us that they belong in the Round of 16.

A trading performance worthy of the final for this weather trader!

BeefSlayer_ vs 0xd1namit

BeefSlayer_, another weather trader, is also on a tear. With $926 in profit they are absolutely dominating 0xd1namit who has only $31 in profit.

Will 0xd1namit try to get lucky in the last two days? Or is BeefSlayer_’s performance just too good to try and catch up? We’ll see by tomorrow.

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bernardbulletin vs Splunksy

Bernardbulletin is having a rough couple of days. After an unlucky start, they are now $66 in the red. With the absence of election markets they are trying their best trading mentions.

However, Splunksy, trading a mix of weather and sports markets, is getting well ahead. With $258 in profit they should get more comfortable in the lead by the hour. That being said, this profit can be too little to advance past the Round of 16.

aenews vs wisechinamann

Aenews and wisechinamann found themselves on the opposite sides of the same market! The former was on Yes on the White House to call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 4th, while the latter was on No as their main positions yesterday.

wisechinamann proved their wisdom and now enjoys a $264 lead over aenews.

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Fuentes 99 vs xeny-

Since xeny- is not active, Fuentes99 is taking it easy after making $193 in the first day. Is it xeny-’s strategy t wait till the last minute? We’ll see.

sonix vs thonka

After a rough start, thonka is doing their best to catch up with sonix, who thought they can take it easy after the first day. Now, both traders are within a $100 of each other.

Today will show if thonka has the skill to catch up and give sonix a run for their money.

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Rex416 vs attenonthephone

After a slow start, atteonthephone has had a killer day and made $633 trading weather markets. However, it was not enough to catch up with Rex416.

Rex416 had a killer day trading World Cup markets and now has $1,021 in profit, trailing only 0X357 for the overall top spot.

WeatherOnly vs green

While green remains inactive, WeatherOnly is yet another weather trader with an absolutely outrageous P&L. In just two days of trading they’ve managed to almost double the starting bankroll.

At this point I’m almost sure it will be a weather trader who wins the tournament.

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Kween vs whiggeries

Kween continues the tradition of weather traders absolutely mogging everyone else. Up $479, they can be almost sure of victory as whiggeries only has $61 profit.

n0rulesnvr vs HondaCivic

n0rulesnvr is trying their best being matched against a weather trader. However, in this tournament, a normally very respectable 30% profit in two days, is simply not enough.

HondaCivic is far from being the most profitable weather trader in this round. But they still have $408 in profit, almost doubling the starting bankroll. This tournament is extremely competitive and matchups like that show it best.

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PeterParker3Hive vs OnlyLuckNoBrain

After two days of trading, we have our first sure case. PeterParker3Hive lost it all trading Mexico vs England World Cup game markets.

OnlyLuckNoBrain can now be sure to advance to the Round of 16 with a respectable profit of $146. This trader continues to manifest reality through their nickname and I find it quite amusing!

Arrth vs ClydeCash

This is the least exciting matchup of the Round of 32. Both traders are barely in the double digits when it comes to profit. Arrth is up only $14, while ClydeCash did a small round trip and sits on $32 profit.

We do hope to see more action here as both traders are looking to qualify to the Round of 16.

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strider_pm vs Joker_Poly

Joker_Poly is making sure that strider_pm won’t be able to catch up. With $436 profit vs an inactive trader, they have all but ensured their place in the Round of 16.

Wrap Up

That’s all for today! Currently my favorite to win the tournament is 0X357, who every single day proves that they are one of the best traders out there. Who’s your pick for the winner? Let us know in the coments.

See you tomorrow for another HIVE World Cup Recap!

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This is not official investment or life advice. Do your own research. These are only my opinions and I encourage anyone to do their own research before putting any money anywhere.

Hey traders! The first 24 hours of the Knockout Stage are behind us. While it was the 4th of July, many traders took the time to trade and try to get a lead over their opponents.

In some cases it worked out great. In others, not so much.

Let’s see who made it!

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Quick Rules Summary

Finalists go 1v1, seeded by group score. Both traders reset to $500 for a short head-to-head window; whoever makes more profit advances. Single elimination, until one champion is left.

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Best Trade of the Day

The best trade of the day goes to CoffeeLover_pm. They made $331 correctly predicting the outcome of the Morocco vs Canada World Cup game for a $135 lead in their 1v1.

Congrats!

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Worst Trade of the Day

The worst trade of the day title belongs to 0X357:

This otherwise great trader had a rough day on weather markets, where they lost $196 wrongly predicting the highest temperature in the NYC.

However, with 3 days left we do hope to see them redeem theselves!

Round of 32

Mirza vs PROPHET

Mirza placed first in their group in each of three weeks of the Group Stage. Now they continue their excellent performance. They made $317 correctly predicting Morocco vs Canada World Cup game and enjoy a massive lead.

I’ve taken a day off from trading, but starting today I’m giving Mirza a run for their money. I’ll have to take some risks though to top $311 in profit.

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Maskache vs Mosesfan

Maskache had a volatile day. Weather gods were not kind today, but they ended up with $16 in profit for the first place (for now).

Mosesfan also had a slow day with only $8 in profit. We expect both traders to have a better day today.

Raskell vs CoffeeLover_pm

Both traders had an impressive day. CoffeLover_pm is in the lead now after correctly predicting the outcome of Morroco vs Canada World Cup game for $366 in profit.

Raskell is just behind them with $231 in profit trading World Cup and esports markets. This 1v1 is shaping up to be extremely competitive.

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0X357 vs PMKFund

PMKFund’s strategy is patience. With no trades in the last 24 hours, they were hoping 0X357 makes a mistake. And they did.

The weather gods were not kind and 0X357 now sits on a $245 loss. However, we’ve already seen this trader making a big comeback. Can they make it back? With three days left and plenty of weather markets anything is possible.

BeefSlayer_ vs 0xd1namit

Another duel with weather trader. This time, BeefSlayer_ proved why weather traders are a force to reckon with. With $114 in profit, they are well ahead of 0xd1namit.

However, 0xd1namit still had a respectable day with $31 in profit trading World Cup markets. This 1v1 is far from over.

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bernardbulletin vs Splunksy

Bernardbulletin had a rough start to the Knockout Stage. With no political markets in sight, they traded mentions and ultimately managed to cut the losses down to 7$.

Splunksy, on the other hand, has a respectable profit of $55 trading weather markets. Looking at both traders, this duel is just getting started.

aenews vs wisechinamann

Here both traders are yet to do a single trade. Aenews had to close some positions for a slight loss, thus his negative P&L.

We are waiting for some action from wisechinamann and aenews!

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Fuentes 99 vs xeny-

Fuentes99 is off to a great start predicting World Cup games. With $193 in profit, they are well ahead of xeny-, who is yet to make a single trade.

Can they catch up? With 3 days left anything is possible.

sonix vs thonka

Sonix has a similar strategy to Fuentes99. After a successful day predicting World Cup games, they are $199 up.

Thonka had a worse start, but since then they are making it up. With $58 in the red, they will now have to assume more risk to catch up with sonix.

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Rex416 vs attenonthephone

In a shocking turn of events, an esports trader is currently winning with a weather trader. Rex416 had a great day and is now sitting on $439 in profit.

In the meantime, atteonthephone had a slow day and has only $7 in profit. However, there are plenty of weather markets every day and we’re sure they will be back in the game in no time.

WeatherOnly vs green

It’s a rather uneventful duel now. Only WeatherOnly made some trades and is up $85 while green took the Saturday off.

We hope to see more action today!

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Kween vs whiggeries

It’s another 1v1 in which one trader is well ahead while the other has barley traded. We understand that it was 4th of July, but we do hope to see more action from whiggeries starting today.

For now Kween is leading with $285 in profit trading weather markets.

n0rulesnvr vs HondaCivic

N0rulesnvr hoped they wouldn’t be matched against a weather trader. Tough luck!

HondaCivic, one of the most popular weather traders on X is not giving them any favors. With $55 in profit after 24 hours of trading, they are well ahead of n0rulesnvr, who might be too intimidated to start trading.

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PeterParker3Hive vs OnlyLuckNoBrain

OnlyLuckNoBrain had it easy in the Group Stage. However, they are proving now that it is no accident they have qualified to the Knockout Stage. With $111 in profit from trading weather markets, they are not going to give up easily.

PeterParker3Hive is just behind them with $68 in profit after trading Taylor Swift wedding markets. With 3 days left, anything can happen in this 1v1.

Arrth vs ClydeCash

While Arrth is taking it slow with only $1 in profit, ClydeCash is proving to us that their performance in Week 3 (where they won the worst trade of the week title!) was just an accident.

With a respectable $68 in profit from trading weather markets, they are looking to redeem themselves.

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strider_pm vs Joker_Poly

The last duel is rather uneventful. strider_pm has not made any trade yet, while Joker_Poly is up $114 for a safe lead.

We hope to see more action here tomorrow.

Wrap Up

It’s been a slow start for some, but we already see some traders trying to prove that they belong in the top 16. With 4th of July celebrations over now, we can expect more traders to join in the action and try to advance to the next stage.

See you tomorrow for another HIVE World Cup Recap!

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This is not official investment or life advice. Do your own research. These are only my opinions and I encourage anyone to do their own research before putting any money anywhere.

Hey traders! It’s the end of the Group Stage. After extremely competitive three weeks of trading, we now have our 32 traders, the best of the best. Starting tomorrow, they will compete head-to-head to advance to the Round of 16.

Let’s see who made it and who had to wave the tournament goodbye!

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Quick Rules Summary

Traders are now competing in the group phase, in three weekly round. They start every round with a fresh $500 and are ranked against their group by that round's profit. Where they finish earns points — top 10 score, everyone else gets 0.

After 3 weeks, top two traders out of each group (and eight best traders from the third place) advance to knockouts.

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Best Trade of the Week

The best trade of the week goes to UnyieldingGrit. This trader made $1,520 correctly predicting the exact score in Portugal vs Croatia World Cup game and made the most profit in Week 3. Despite not making it to the Knockout Stage, this trader is definitely walking out of the competition happy.

Congrats!

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Worst Trade of the Week

The worst trade of the week goes to ClydeCash:

This trader erased their entire bankroll in the very beginning of the week, wrongly predicting the number of Elon Musk’s tweets. Despite that, they managed to qualify to the Knockout Stage!

Congrats!

Group Standings

Group A

The last day of trading was a calm one for Group A. The top three remained the same and all of them qualified to the Knockout Stage:

1. 0X357 has absolutely dominated Group A and managed to get 40 points in three weeks of trading. They made over $1,905 this week alone, making them one of the favorites to win the tournament.

2. Joker_Poly is the only non-weather trader from Group A to qualify to the knockout stage. With 32 points over three weeks, they had an impressive run predicting politics, mentions and sports.

3. HondCivic made it to the Knockout Stage as their steady performance predicting weather put them in the top 3 of the best 3rd places.

Group A has been one of the most competitive groups, but these three have absolutely dominated over the last three weeks. Congrats!

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Group B

After a tense three weeks, Group B has only two traders advancing to the Knockout Stage:

1. Raskell, aka Airdropper2, made it out as one of the favorites to win the tournament. With 42 points (45 being the maximum), they have proved that predicting runs in their veins.

2. Mosesfan is living up to the legend. After a weak start, they’ve managed to win the Week 3 and advance to the Knockout stage thanks to predicting esports games.

Congrats!

Group C

Group C has been extremely volatile. Five traders had over 20 points, but only three of them managed to qualify to the Knockout Stage:

1. ClydeCash has dominated the group in the first two weeks. So much so, that even losing their entire bankroll at the beginning of Week 3 didn’t stop them from having the most points.

2. whiggeries took it easy this week, but placing 4th was enough to get 31 points and make the cut.

3. wisechinamann did in fact manage to stay at the top of the Group C in Week 3 and qualify from the third place. I guess there’s a reason they’re called wise.

And a consolation prize should go to PityokH, who did manage to redeem themselves after getting the worst trade of the day title. Congrats nonetheless!

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Group D

Group D saw some last minute action and ended up with three traders making the cut:

1. Bernardbulletin had the most stable performance throughout the course of the Group Stage. With 39 points they are at the top of the global leaderboard. However, we will see how they’ll do in the Knockout Stage as there are no more primaries to trade.

2. green took it easy after great two weeks. Despite being in the red this week, they were safe to advance with 31 points.

3. PROPHET made a last minute effort to qualify after trading only sporadically throughout the first 2 weeks. A parley on the last night matches put them at the top of the leaderboard. With 27 points, he is just above the threshold to advance.

Congrats!

I do hope though that I’m not matched against a weather trader in the Round of 32 (sic!).

Group E

In Group E, n0rulesnvr made a last minute appearance to collect easy points and deliver a small upset to Pristine10, who barely missed the cut. That we we have only two traders advancing to the Knockout Stage:

1. Mirza has proved that they have no match in Group E. Placing 1st in all three weeks of the Group Stage, they’ll hopefully find their match in the Knockout Stage.

2. n0rulesnvr, despite taking it easy this week, managed to get 34 points. Great performance in the first two weeks was enough to guarantee a place in the next round.

Congrats!

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Group F

Group F saw an explosive last day. The leader, despite sitting safely in the first place, made another $500 to cement their position. Overall, the group was extremely competitive and three traders managed to make the cut:

1. Arrth took it easy this week with only $12 in profit, but strong previous two weeks ensured their qualification.

2. Fuentes99 proved that they are the force to reckon with. After a weak performance in Week 2, they are once again at the top of the leaderboard with stunning $1,300 in profit.

3. CoffeLover_pm had a slow start, but a stellar performance in Week 2 and Week 3 helped them qualify from the third place with 29 points.

Congrats!

Group G

In hindsight, there was no doubt on who will qualify to the Knockout Stage from Group G. After Week 1 only three traders remained active and all 3 made the cut:

1. xeny- won the group after a last minute prediction of Portugal vs Croatia World Cup game.

2. Rex416 got 36 points for the second place. After a rather easy group round, they will now face their equals in the Knockout Stage.

3. Kween was also taking it easy. No more.

The Knockout Stage will show if the group was really that easy, or simply the top three traders were too good to go against. Congrats!

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Group H

Group H has strong contenders for the tournament winner. Only two traders advanced to the Knockout Stage, but these two can really make it big:

1. Maskache absolutely dominated the group. They won the two first weeks and were placed second in the final week. This weather trader is one of the favorites to win the tournament.

2. aenews is an OG Polymarket trader who showed that he still has it. With 39 points, he’ll now need to prove himself in the 1:1 matchup.

Protrade, if it weren’t for an awful week of trading, could have made it as well. With 26 points, they were just below the cut.

Congrats!

Group I

Group I saw little action in Week 3. The top trader had only $33 in profit, showing that sometimes you need a bit of luck. Despite this performance, previous weeks were far more interesting and we have two traders that will now need to prove themselves in the Knockout Stage:

1. strider_pm had a bad start in Week1, but following weeks they were placed first, giving them 32 points.

2. 0xd1namit managed to make it with only $3 in profit. However, in the previous two weeks they had a far better performance.

Congrats!

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Group J

Group J was also extremely competitive. However, the three traders that have consistently made it to this recap are the ones that are now in the Knockout Stage:

1. BeefSlayer_ is the undisputed leader of the group. They are not afraid of big risks and have already proved that they can go big to secure the top spot.

2. sonix consistently placed at the top of the leaderboard. Their 36 points put them well above the threshold to qualify.

3. PeterParker3Hive had a stellar week that ensured their advancement. With $1,063 in this week’s profit they proved that they deserve a place in the top 32 of Polymarket traders.

Congrats!

Group K

What an end of the week for Group K. Despite massive effort to overtake the leaders, it’s the traders placed 4-6 this week that ended up in the Knockout Stage. Even a stunning trade from UnyieldingGrit was not enough to change the outcome:

1. WeatherOnly ended up with 33 points to lead Group K. Another weather trader in the tournament, now they’ll have to prove that they can keep up their performance.

2. atteonthephone, also a weather trader, had a slow week, but their performance in the first two rounds was enough to guarantee them a place in the next stage.

3. Splunksy, despite losing $289 this week accumulated enough points to advance from the third place in the group.

Congrats!

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Group L

Group L ended up being the least active overall. However, three traders managed to qualify to the Knockout Stage:

1. OnlyLuckNoBrain has truly lived up to their nick. With 32 points after three rounds, they qualify from the first place in the group.

2. thonka is just behind them with 31 points and $367 in profit this week alone. However, they’ll need to be more active once the Knockout Stage begins.

3. PMKFund is the third trader to advance. After winning the group in the first two weeks, they took the third week of knowing that 30 points is enough to qualify to the Knockout Stage.

Congrats!

Wrap Up

Now that the top 32 traders will compete head to head we’ll see who has it in themselves to make it to the very top. The Group Stage was forgiving to some traders. From now on, only real predictors will be able to advance.

Do you have a pick for the winner? Let us know in the comments.

See you tomorrow for another HIVE World Cup Recap!

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This is not official investment or life advice. Do your own research. These are only my opinions and I encourage anyone to do their own research before putting any money anywhere.

Hey traders! We have less than 24 hours till the end of the Group Stage. While most of the traders at the top are trying to play it safe, there are a few traders who can still make some noise and change the calculus.

Let’s do a quick recap of the last 24 hours and see who can still make it.

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Quick Rules Summary

Traders are now competing in the group phase, in three weekly round. They start every round with a fresh $500 and are ranked against their group by that round's profit. Where they finish earns points — top 10 score, everyone else gets 0.

After 3 weeks, top two traders out of each group (and eight best traders from the third place) advance to knockouts.

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Best Trade of the Day

The main leaderboard was very quiet yesterday. It was a trader from just outside the top 10 who made the best trade of the day:

wisechinamann is now leading Group C after making $319 predicting that Trump will insult Netanyahu. While they have no chance of qualifying, we admire the effort.

Congrats!

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Worst Trade of the Day

The worst trade of the day title belongs to abcdefmlzy:

They lost their entire bankroll wrongly predicting two World Cup games yesterday. Tough luck!

Group Standings

Group A

We have some changes in Group A. While 0X357 is still the undisputed leader, Joker_Poly moved up and is now in the second place. In the third place we have HondaCivic, who is now on track to qualify to the knockout stage.

MoralOrel also had an impressive day yesterday, moving from a $338 loss to $80 in profit. While they are still short of qualifying to the knockout stage, it’s an impressive achievement. Congrats!

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Group B

No changes in Group B. It’s a bit surprising as there are quite a few traders, like HotSkull or Brokie, who could qualify by simply becoming active and not losing their entire bankroll.

Will they do it? We’ll see in the next 24 hours.

Group C

We had a change of leader in Group C. wisechinamann is now at the top of the leaderboard with $314 in profit. The rest of the traders wasn’t really active in the last 24 hours.

With one day left, only ibelievethatwewillwinplease can change who will advance to the knockout stage. If they manage to overcome whiggeries, who is only $19 ahead of them, they will qualify instead of the current leader. It will be tense 24 hours.

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Group D

Group D saw only minimal activity. Bernardbulletin is still in the first place, but with 24 hours to go all the other spots are within reach. The trader in the second place has only $5 in profit.

Will we see some last minute action in Group D?

Group E

No changes in Group E outside of Pristine10 becoming active and overtaking picklepredictor with $0.91 loss.

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Group F

While Fuentes99 sits comfortably in the first place, there’s a fierce battle for the second place. CoffeLover_pm has made over $400 since yesterday and is now second. However, EWaves is only $17 behind them.

Both traders had a stellar performance yesterday, but unless EWaves can overtake Fuentes99 for the first place, their chances of qualifying to the knockout stage are slim.

Group G

The three active traders in Group G have collectively decided that they will just stop trading and advance to the knockout stage without making any fuss. At this point there’s no one that can threaten their position. Congrats!

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Group H

Aenews has overtaken Maskache for the first place in Group G. The weather trader who won the first two weeks of the group round has had a bad week. However, both aenews and Maskache can be virtually certain of their advancement to the knockout stage.

The last 24 hours will be tense for Protrade though. With $136 loss and 26 points they are barely above the threshold. Can they keep their position in the next 24 hours? We’ll see.

Group I

Situation in Group I remains stable with only two traders active.

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Group J

Group J is also stable. All three traders at the top of the leaderboard can be almost sure they will qualify to the knockout stage. We will take a look at them over the weekend and see if the last 24 hours didn’t change anything.

Group K

Group K is an interesting case. Currently, traders placed 2-4 are the ones that are bound to qualify to the knockout stage. Despite some losses, their performance in the first two weeks was enough to guarantee the place in the next round.

Congrats!

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Group L

We have a new face in Group L. justigor made a trade and is now $4 in profit. However, this little performance didn’t change anything for the group - thonka and OnlyLuckNoBrain are set to qualify to the knockout stage with little effort.

Wrap Up

That’s it for today. Most of the traders are looking to play it safe and qualify to the knockout stage after almost three weeks of intensive competition. However, there are a few that can still make some noise.

We are awaiting some tense action as the clock runs down the last 24 hours.

See you tomorrow for another HIVE World Cup Recap!

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This is not official investment or life advice. Do your own research. These are only my opinions and I encourage anyone to do their own research before putting any money anywhere.

Hey traders! It’s been an impressive day. Not only did no trader make a trade bad enough to be featured in the worst trade of the day, but also we had an exceptional trade by a now famous weather trader that put them well at the top of the leaderboard.

With only 48 hours left, traders are trying their best to advance to the knockout stage. n some groups, the field is still open and the last 48 hours will decide everything.

Let’s do a quick recap of the last 24 hours.

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Quick Rules Summary

Traders are now competing in the group phase, in three weekly round. They start every round with a fresh $500 and are ranked against their group by that round's profit. Where they finish earns points — top 10 score, everyone else gets 0.

After 3 weeks, top two traders out of each group (and eight best traders from the third place) advance to knockouts.

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Best Trade of the Day

The best trade of the day goes to 0X357. They made $1,398 predicting the highest temperature in the NYC, leaving the rest of the traders well behind. They now have $2,066 in weekly profit, over $1,000 ahead of Fuentes99 in the second place.

Congrats!

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Worst Trade of the Day

Today traders avoided bankroll-erasing trades and no one deserves to get the worst trade of the day title. Keep it up!

Group Standings

Group A

We are witnessing a truly impressive performance from 0X357. They are now well ahead of the group after making almost $1,400 predicting the highest temperature in the NYC.

They are followed by DontMind and Joker_Poly with $375 and $276 in profit. Weather traders continue to absolutely dominate the tournament. If we had a market on the niche of the winner, I’d say that weather should trade above 90c.

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Group B

Raskell, aka Airdropper2, is absolutely dominating Group B. After winning the group in the previous two weeks, they are once again at the top with $467 in profit. They made their profit predicting that Trump would insult Keir Starmer by the end of June.

Just $33 behind is Mosesfan, who had a stable day thinking they are well ahead of the group. In the third place we have TheNooMast with $249 in profit.

It seems that even doubling your bankroll might not be enough to lead a group. Top traders are extremely sharp and competitive. Some of them are bound to make more in P&L than from the prize itself!

Group C

Group C has seen little changes since yesterday. PityokH is still on the lead, however wisechinamann has made an appearance and now holds the second place. With $78 in profit, they are way behind PityokH.

After ClydeCash erased their bankroll, we expect more traders to become active in an effort to push them out of the knockout stage.

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Group D

Bernardbulletin took the lead in Group D. They had a good day predicting Colorado Primaries for $166 in profit. Behind them is ExertoATH with $25 in profit.

Yesterday’s leader, green, had a bad day. They lost $74 wrongly predicting that Claude Fable won’t be restored by July 1st.

The group continues to be rather inactive, meaning that if any traders decide to go active, they can potentially change who will advance to the knockout stage.

Group E

Group E is completely inactive, even though a couple of traders could challenge picklepredictor and advance to the knockout stage.

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Group F

We had some changes in Group F. While Fuentes99 enjoys their massive lead, CoffeLover_pm has managed to turn their fortune. Only yesterday they had over $250 in losses. Today they hold the second place with $48 in profit. Congrats!

A few other traders became active, however only czxc319861 made some respectable profit and now sits in the third place with $40 in the green.

Group G

Group G remains as one of the least competitive in the tournament. However, Rex416 made over $350 shortly after mine recap to get the first place from Kween.

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Group H

Maskache had a bumpy day trading weather markets. While they are still in the lead, it was cut down to $150. Behind them is aenews, who sports a modest profit of $68.

In the third place we have HilelTheElder, who managed to make up $105 in losses and now sits with $56 profit. Ultimately though, Maskache and aenews are almost guaranteed to advance to the knockout stage at this point.

Group I

Nothing has really changed in Group I. Strider_pm is still in the lead, with 0xd1namite in the second. However, 0xd1namite managed to cut their losses, from $297 to $136.

Both are looking to advance to the knockout stage if nothing changes.

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Group J

Only yesterday I’ve mentioned that PeterParker3Hive can still challenge the leaders. Today, they sit in the first place with $605 in profit. This exceptional performance landed them on the Best 3rd Place List with high chances of advancing to the knockout stage:

Other traders in the group were flat on the day.

Group K

It was a bad day for Group K traders. Only 0xFudrick managed to stay in the green, while WeatherOnly and atteonthephone landed in red. However, it’s the red traders (including Splunksy), who are now almost sure to advance to the knockout stage. Week 1 and Week 2 performance saved them.

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Group L

Same old in Group L. Looks like thonka and OnlyLuckNoBrain will advance to the knockout stage with little effort.

Wrap Up

That’s it for today. With only 48 hours left in the group stage, do you think there’s any chance for a last minute change? Let us know in the comments.

See you tomorrow for another HIVE World Cup Recap!

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This is not official investment or life advice. Do your own research. These are only my opinions and I encourage anyone to do their own research before putting any money anywhere.

Hey traders! Day 2 of trading proved to be a lot more volatile. We have some new traders in the global leaderboard. At the same time, some of the traders that made it big in the first two weeks, have managed to lose their entire bankroll and now they only have hope left.

The tournament is heating up as we enter the last three days of trading before the knockout stage!

Let’s do a quick recap of the last 24 hours.

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Quick Rules Summary

Traders are now competing in the group phase, in three weekly round. They start every round with a fresh $500 and are ranked against their group by that round's profit. Where they finish earns points — top 10 score, everyone else gets 0.

After 3 weeks, top two traders out of each group (and eight best traders from the third place) advance to knockouts.

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Best Trade of the Day

The best trade of the day goest to Fuentes99, who managed to make $734 predicting the outcomes of the World Cup games. It’s an amazing return to the top, as this trader went to zero in Week 2, after a stellar performance in Week 1.

Congrats!

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Worst Trade of the Day

The worst trade of the day goes to ClydeCash.

After an amazing performance in the first two weeks, this trader managed to erase their entire bankroll wrongly predicting the number of Elon Musk’s tweets. Now all they have left is hope that the points they managed to get in the first two weeks will be enough to qualify to the knockouts stage.

We’re keeping our fingers crossed!

Group Standings

Group A

0X357 continues to dominate Group A with $887 in profit after two days of trading. The weather gods were especially favorable to them, which cannot be said about HondaCivic. After a stellar performance last week, they are sitting at only $45 in profit, behind Levi, a sports trader, with $132 in profit.

At the bottom of the table, MoralOrel has a string of bad variance and is down $358. Can they reverse their luck and challenge the leaders?

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Group B

It was a quiet day in Group B. Mosesfan is still at the top with $453 in profit. The most interesting action happened at the bottom of the leaderboard.

PolyTrader2026 managed to lose it all by wrongly predicting Germany vs Paraguay World Cup game. However, I need to give it back to PolyTrader2026 a bit. It was not a horrible trade. Germany losing to Paraguay in penalties as not on my bingo either.

However, this trade has effectively ended their chance of advancing to the knockout stage. Better luck next time!

Group C

PityokH has their comeback! After an unlucky streak, they are finally at the top of the Group C, with $225 in profit. Congrats!

The second and the third place have a rather unimpressive performance, but there is something extremely interesting at the bottom of the leaderboard. ClydeCash, who ended Week 1 and Week 2 in the second and first place, is now out of the game!

They lost $477 wrongly predicting Elon Musk’s number of tweets and possibly lost their chance of advancing to the knockout stage. It will be a tense week for Group C as the fight for points will last till the very last day.

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Group D

Group D is not really exciting. Green leads the group with only $8 in profit, while the last trader, 4theTrees has only $14 loss.

We hope to see better performance from traders there!

Group E

Group E is even less exciting than Group D. However, there are a few traders that still have a shot at the knockout stage. We expect them to go active soon and try challenging Mirza and picklepredictor for the top two spots.

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Group F

Group F is a group of polar opposites. On the one hand we have Fuentes99. He had a great performance in Week 1, followed by a complete blowout in Week 2. Now, they’re once again at the top of the leaderboard, with $729 in profit.

On the other hand we have CoffeLover_pm, who managed to lose more than half of their bankroll in one trade. Now, CoffeLover_pm needs to hope that they can maintain their position as one of the top 8 third places.

Group G

We saw mixed performance in Group G. Rex416, yesterday’s leader, had an extremely volatile day, but they ended up with $58 in profit for the second place.

They were overtaken by Kween, who made $206 on weather markets. However, the entire active part of the group (including xeny- in the third place) can be almost sure of advanicng to the knockout stage, as all have over 30 points now.

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Group H

Maskache continues to dominate Group H. This weather trader continues to show that weather traders belong at the top with third straight week of stellar performance.

In the meantime, HilelTheElder turned negative and is now dead last with 20% of their bankroll erased.

Group I

Gropu I is rather uneventful. We have only two traders active: strider_pm, who comfortably sits in the first place with only $33 in profit and 0xd1namit.

It’s yet another trader who got burnt on Germany vs Paraguay World Cup game. 0xd1namit lost $297 on this game. However, they can still qualify for the knockout stage if no other traders become active.

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Group J

Gropu J has started Week 3 strong. Sonix continues to lead the group with $398 in profit after two days of trading. They are closely followed by BeefSlayer_, with $305 in profit.

The third and fourth place are a bit behind, but still positive. Foster has $103 in profit, while Securebet is up $41. However, there’s one more trader who can change the game. If PeterParker3Hive becomes active (and profitable), they can completely change who will qualify for the knockout stage.

Will they go active? We surely hope so.

Group K

We have a change of leadership in Group K. 0xFudrick managed to overtake atteonthephone by $4 and now has $60 in profit.

The rest of the group is rather inactive. Strange, as everyone active is within 6 points of each other. We expect the group to heat up as we approach the end of Week 3 trading.

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Group L

Group L continues its tradition of starting it slow. However, behind thonka and OnlyLuckNoBrain, we have a currently inactive PMKFund.

Sitting at 30 points from the first two weeks, they just need to become active to come out at the top. We expect them to do so soon.

Wrap Up

That’s it for today. We can start to analyze who will advance to the knockout stage as some of the traders really took off in Week 3. However, there are still quite a few contested spots and the end of Week 3 trading is bound to be extremely volatile and interesting.

Who are you rooting for? Let us know in the comments!

See you tomorrow for another HIVE World Cup Recap!

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This is not official investment or life advice. Do your own research. These are only my opinions and I encourage anyone to do their own research before putting any money anywhere.

Hey traders! It’s Week 3 and traders are battling for the spots in the knockout stage. In this final stretch we will see who has it in themselves to take the risk and move ahead in the HIVE World Cup.

Let’s see who made it big at the end of Week 3 and who is already ahead after 24 hours of Week 3

Let’s do a quick recap of the last 24 hours.

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Quick Rules Summary

Traders are now competing in the group phase, in three weekly round. They start every round with a fresh $500 and are ranked against their group by that round's profit. Where they finish earns points — top 10 score, everyone else gets 0.

After 3 weeks, top two traders out of each group (and eight best traders from the third place) advance to knockouts.

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Best Trade of the Week 2

Best trade of the week goes to strider_pm, who made $2,000 predicting the highest temperature in Seoul for the second overall place in Week 2.

It was a truly amazing trade, congrats!

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Best Trade of the Day

The best trade of the day goes to 0X357. It’s another strong start from this weather trader. This time, they correctly predicted the highest temperature in Miami for $624 in profit.

Congrats!

Worst Trade of the Day

Surprisingly, there were no degen trades since yesterday. Traders are more cautious in Week 3, trying their best to get these points and qualify for the knockout stage.

Group Standings

Group A

Just 24 hours after the start of Week 3, we already have a trader that almost doubled their starting bankroll. 0X357 sits on $489 profit after correctly predicting the highest temperature in Miami.

They are followed by HondaCivic, a fellow weather trader with $153 in profit. In the third place we have penguin_pmkt, with “only” $58 in profit

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Group B

Group B already has familiar faces at the top. Mosesfan is living up to their idol, having made $398 in the first 24 hours predicting esports.

The next three places are less than $20 apart, with TheNooMast, C0cocrypto and abcdefmlzy battling for the knockout stage.

Group C

Group C is off to a slow start. We only have 2 traders with minor profit - whiggeries and DeverNoom. We are awaiting more action in this usually competitive group.

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Group D

Group D is also off to a slow start. We have our usual top spot holders - bernardbulletin and green, at the top, with ExertoATH also making a tiny profit for the third place.

Based on past weeks, we can be pretty certain on who will advance to the knockout stage.

Group E

Mirza continues to dominate Group E. Having been placed first in the first two weeks of the tournament, they are again at the top with $394 in profit after correctly predicting World Cup games.

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Group F

Group F has seen minimal activity in Week 3. Arrth and EWaves made some profit, but they are way behind the top traders. With $58 and $23 in profit respectively, they are still far from being safe in this rather competitive group.

Group G

Another group with a slow start. It is clear that a lot of traders went to touch some grass on Sunday ahead of the last week of the group stage.

Only Rex416 made some trades and enjoys a lead with $12 to their name.

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Group H

In Group H we have a battle between sports and weather. Maskache continues to dominate the group trading weather markets for $108 in profit. Just behind them is HilelTheElder, a sports trader with $69 in profit.

As weather traders continue to dominate the tournament, HilelTheElder is one of the outliers that manage to trade the World Cup profitably.

Group I

After a stellar performance at the end of Week 2, strider_pm is once again at the top of their group. With $31 in profit they are way below their last week’s peak, however it’s a good start.

Other traders in the group are mostly inactive, but we expect to have a lot more to say tomorrow.

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Group J

Sonix continues to dominate Group J, having already made $255 in profit correctly predicting World Cup games.

Behind them is Foster, with $103 in profit and Securebet with $17 in profit. Leaders are off to a good start, but historically, this group has been extremely competitive and a lot can happen in the next four days.

Group K

Group K is lead by two weather traders - atteonthephone and WeatherOnly - who continue their stellar performance in the third week.

Day after day, these traders show up and make consistent profit on weather markets. Remarkable stuff.

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Group L

Group L continues to be a one with the least activity. However, thonka managed to make over $300, putting themselves at the top of the leaderboard. They made bank predicting the release of Trump phone.

Behind them is OnlyLuckBoBrain, whose nick served them well. With $9 in profit and minimal activity they’ve managed to get 20 points already and are on track to qualify to the knockout stage.

Wrap Up

That’s it for today. We are off to a slow start, but some traders have already managed to double their bankroll. The last week of the group stage is looking tense as we expect many traders to try and fight for their place.

See you tomorrow for another HIVE World Cup Recap!

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This is not official investment or life advice. Do your own research. These are only my opinions and I encourage anyone to do their own research before putting any money anywhere.

Hey traders! We have less than 24 hours left in Week 2 of trading. Since yesterday, we’ve had quite a few changes in the group leaderboards. Weather traders continue to dominate the tournament, even with the Iran war and World Cup ongoing. Can anyone beat them?

Let’s do a quick recap of the last 24 hours.

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Quick Rules Summary

Traders are now competing in the group phase, in three weekly round. They start every round with a fresh $500 and are ranked against their group by that round's profit. Where they finish earns points — top 10 score, everyone else gets 0.

After 3 weeks, top two traders out of each group (and eight best traders from the third place) advance to knockouts.

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Best Trade of the Day

The best trade of the day title goes to strider3, who has made $644 correctly predicting the highest temperature in Seoul. They are now leading Group I.

Congrats!

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Worst Trade of the Day

The worst trade of the day title goes to I-Predict.

They have lost over $300 wrongly predicting Germany vs Ecuador game. We wish you more luck next time!

Group Standings

Group A

Group A is dominated by weather traders. HondaCivic is on a roll, having made another $373 predicting the highest temperature in London. They have now more than quadrupled their starting bankroll.

Joker_Poly and Boss_Youzi, another weather trader, are trying to keep up the pace with $648 and $458 profit respectively. However, it is almost impossible to much such a stellar performance.

With such a difference between Week 1 and Week 2, the final round of the group stage will be extremely competitive.

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Group B

TheNooMast is sitting comfortably at the top of the way more timid Group B. However, with only $175 in profit, they have Mosesfan just behind their back. The fan of the last tournament winner made over $100 yesterday predicting esports.

In the third place we have Airdropper2, who has a mixed performance in Week 2 predicting World Cup games. However, even a third place would put them at the top of the leaderboard after two weeks of trading.

Group C

ClydeCash, despite leading Group C is trying to increase their lead. However, after a mixed day of trading they still have $353 in profit. The rest of the podium is flat with whiggeries having made $34 and wisechinamann having made $25 in the first two days of trading.

ChudTrades, who was second yesterday, had a rather bad day, erasing most of their profits. They are now sitting in the fourth place with $24 to their name, just behind wisechinamann.

Can they make it back? They have 24 hours to prove they deserve the place at the podium.

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Group D

Leaders of Group D seem to be comfortable where they are and refused to trade ever since they made it big. Since yesterday only ExertoATH and PROPHET exchanged places after PROPHET barely missed his parley.

Group E

Group E has also had limited activity since yesterday. We only had n0rulesnvr trying to overtake picklepredictor and Pristine10. They made $62 and are now only $7 behind the third place.

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Group F

Group F also saw only limited action. Hhumpsfps tried to overtake CoffeLover_pm, however a series of wrong prediction put them behind KeithStarmerHive. They now have only $69 in profit, dangerously close to Arrth in the fourth place with $62 in profit.

Group G

In Group G, Rex416 is trying their best to land at the top of the global leaderboard, having made over $200 since yesterday. Can they beat the top weather trader, HondaCivic? We’ll see in less than 24 hours.

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Group H

In Group H, the only serious trading activity came from Mask4che. Weather gods were not favorable to them yesterday though, as they lost almost $300 in an effort to stay at the top of the global leaderboard. However, they are still safely in the first place, ahead of aenews who has only $27 in profit.

Group I

We had a change in the leader position in Group I. While 0xd1namit has been slowly building their P&L, strider3 made $644 predicting the highest temperature in Seoul.

It looks like others have little chances to challenge them with only 24 hours left to go.

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Group J

The top 3 in Group J is extremely competitive. All with over $600 in profit, they left the rest of the group behind and are actively battling for the top spot.

Since yesterday, BeefSlayer_ has barely managed to keep the pole position as sonix made almost $200 correctly predicting Germany vs Ecuador World Cup game. PeterParker3Hive had a day off and with less than 24 hours till the end of Week 2, they are $150 behind.

Group K

WeatherOnly may have thought they are safe in the first place. However, after a mixed performance earlier in the week, atteonthephone made $475 predicting the highest temperature in London, overtaking their fellow weather trader.

Almost $90 behind them we have Splunsky in the third place, who also started to trade more actively after having a slow start.

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Group L

In a rather inactive Group L, OnlyLuckNoBrain is trying their luck in the last days of trading. They have now made back their losses and are poised to challenge thonka and justigor, both with less than $50 in profit, for the first place

Will they succeed? Or will Lady Luck deny them the pleasure? We will know by tomorrow.

Wrap Up

That’s it for today. With 24 hours to go we still have a few groups in which everything will be decided. Who are you rooting for to win Week 2? Let us know in the comments.

See you tomorrow for another HIVE World Cup Recap!

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This is not official investment or life advice. Do your own research. These are only my opinions and I encourage anyone to do their own research before putting any money anywhere.

Hey traders! As Week 2 progresses, some traders are trying to make it big quickly. Some succeed, but others lose it all in a single trade. Thanks to having three weekly stages, we can see who was lucky and who has it in themselves to win the HIVE World Cup. We can also see that weather traders emerge as top contenders for the championship.

Do you think anyone can beat them for the top spot?

Let’s do a quick recap of the last 24 hours and find out.

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Quick Rules Summary

Traders are now competing in the group phase, in three weekly round. They start every round with a fresh $500 and are ranked against their group by that round's profit. Where they finish earns points — top 10 score, everyone else gets 0.

After 3 weeks, top two traders out of each group (and eight best traders from the third place) advance to knockouts.

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Best Trade of the Day

The best trade of the day goes to Mask4che. This weather trader proved one more time that they belong at the top of the leaderboard. After finishing first in their group in Week 1, now they’ve made over $1,200 predicting temperature in Seoul yesterday.

They’ve beat another weather trader, HondaCivic, who after a phenomenal day yesterday must have gone on a quick break.

Congrats!

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Worst Trade of the Day

The worst trade of the day goes to Fuentes99. After winning Week 1 in their group, they wanted to push again for the top spot. However, the Brazil vs Scotland game didn’t go exactly how they thought.

They’ve lost $412 in a single trade and combined with previous losses, they have now erased the entire bankroll, securing the last place in the group.

We hope to see you back at the top in Week 3!

Group Standings

Group A

HondaCivic is resting comfortably at the top of the leaderboard in Group A. They are closely followed by Joker_Poly, who made almost $200 in the last 24 hours trading AI releases and World Cup games.

In the third place we have a new face, Boss_Youzi. They’ve been successfully trading weather markets for $287 in profit.

At the bottom of the leaderboard we have 0X357. The last week’s winner has a bad week, down $267 since the start of Week 2.

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Group B

TheNooMast is playing it safe in Group B. After taking the pole position, they’ve been inactive, hoping to cash in 15 points with no risk. However, last week’s winner, Airdropper2, is now trying to catch up with them after making $124 correctly predicting the outcome of the Morocco vs Scotland World Cup game.

In the third place we have Mosesfan, who in fact is not HolyMoses7, but a real fan of him. With only $13 in profit they are yet to match the skill of the last Hive tournament champion.

Group C

Group C has had a quiet day. Two of the leaders - ClydeCash and ChudTrades - made a bit of profit, but the top 3 is still the same.

DeverNoom and wisechinamann switched places (and P&Ls), but still remain far behind the top 2.

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Group D

Bernardbulletin is chilling in the first place with $818 in profit, but the battle for the second place has picked up in Group D.

After a slow start, green is pushing ahead and made over $200 in the last 24 hours to beat PROPHET and get the second place.

Outside the top three though there is not much action in the group, making room for latecomers to try and get easy points.

Group E

Group E has been sleeping the last 24 hours as only picklepredictor made $25 and got into green. Outside of Mirza with $309 in profit, all other places are up for grabs if any of the inactive traders decide to come in.

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Group F

CoffeeLover_pm continues to dominate Group F, adding $150 to their name in the last 24 hours. The second place still belongs to hhumpsfps, while KeithStarmerHive managed to overtake Arrth for the third place.

However, the most interesting development happened at the bottom of the leaderboard. Fuentes99, the last week’s winner, managed to lose their entire bankroll wrongly predicting Brazil vs Scotland World Cup game.

Group G

Since yesterday Rex416 has added over $400 to their name, securing the lead in a rather uneventful Group G. They’ve been trading a wide variety of markets, from psorts to mentions, and are now one of the best traders of the week.

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Group H

Group H is yet another example of a one man show, with Mask4che making over $1,300 since the last recap. Weather traders are truly out of anyones league when it comes to making quick profit.

Group I

Not a lot has happened at the top of the Group I leaderboard. However it does seem that we have a race to the bottom instead.

Since the last recap, two traders - HiveMapper533, the previous leader and GodRama_ - seem to be racing shiny to the bottom. Sadly for them, today the worst trade of the day title was highly competitive as many traders had an especially bad day.

Now the first place belongs to 0xd1namit, a well-know X poster and trader with $127 in profit.

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Group J

Group J proves time and again that it is one of the most competitive groups in the whole tournament. After a slow start, BeefSlayer_ is once again occupying the pole position with $761 in profit.

They are closely followed by PeterParker3Hive and sonix, who lead the pack yesterday. All three leaders are either trading weather, mentions or sports markets, showing that some categories give you an advantage in the fast-paced environment of the Hive World Cup.

Group K

Group K is the second group in which traders are a bit confused and seem to be racing to the bottom, rather than to the top. However, as usual, we have a weather trader chilling in the first place.

WeatherOnly is on track to finish first in Group K for the second time and be one step closer to the knockout stage.

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Group L

Not a lot has changed in Group L. We still have the same three traders in the leaderboard, with P&Ls that would put them way behind the top 3 in most of the groups.

However, they might be also taking advantage of the inactive group and try to advance to the knockout stage without much effort. Or maybe we will see some of the dormant traders wake up in the last 48 hours and take the win away from this group.

Wrap Up

That’s it for today. As weather traders continue to dominate the leaderboard, others must quickly figure out how to beat them. Otherwise they will face them in the knockout stage and quickly lose.

Can a sports or politics trader win the HIVE World Cup? Or will we see a weather trader as the last man standing? Let us know your pick in the comments.

See you tomorrow for another HIVE World Cup Recap!

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This is not official investment or life advice. Do your own research. These are only my opinions and I encourage anyone to do their own research before putting any money anywhere.

Hey traders! After a slow start, Day 2 showed us who is worthy of advancing to the knockout stage. We can already see some performances that outshine all of the best trades in Week 1.

As time is getting shorter the top traders are fully focused on staying in the top 3 and earning points to qualify for the knockouts. Who made it big today?

Let’s do a quick recap of the last 24 hours and find out.

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Quick Rules Summary

Traders are now competing in the group phase, in three weekly round. They start every round with a fresh $500 and are ranked against their group by that round's profit. Where they finish earns points — top 10 score, everyone else gets 0.

After 3 weeks, top two traders out of each group (and eight best traders from the third place) advance to knockouts.

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Best Trade of the Day

The best trade of the day goes to HondaCivic, a well-know weather trader. They made over $1,000 predicting weather in London and now hold the pole position across all traders in Week 2.

Congrats!

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Worst Trade of the Day

The worst trade of the day goes to UnyieldingGrit, who not only managed to lose $411 predicting various outcomes of the England vs Ghana World Cup game, but also is the first trader in Week 2 to erase their entire bankroll:

We hope to see you redeem yourself in Week 3!

Group Standings

Group A

Group A is dominated by HondaCivic. After a slow start in Week 1, this trader is now living up to their fame, having over $1,223 in profit after 2 days of trading.

In the second place we have Joker_Poly with $344 in profit. After finishing 4th in Week 1, they are looking to keep the spot in hopes to qualify to the knockout stage. In the third place, almost $200 behind, we have penguin_pmkt who is hoping to make up for lack of points in Week 1.

It’s an extremely competitive group with seven traders in the green. Last week’s top 2, 0X357 and MoralOrel are placed 8th and 9th, showing how hard it is to keep up with the top performers.

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Group B

Group B is a walk in the park compared to Group A. There’s only one trader with profit above $50. TheNooMast made almost $200 correctly predicting the outcome of the Norway vs Senegal World Cup game.

In the second place we have WCjavi with $23 in profit and in the third place we have the last Hive tournament winner, Mosesfan, with $14 in profit so far.

We are yet to see some big trades from the last week’s leaders. Airdropper2 and Brokie are sitting on a small profit, but we expect them to go big at some point to catch up with the current leaders.

Group C

We continue to see strong performance from ClydeCash in Group C. With $341 in profit, they are far ahead anyone else in the group. They finished second in Week 1, putting them as a strong favorite to advance to the knockout stage.

Behind them we have ChudTrades with $130 in profit. In the third place we have whiggeries, the last week’s winner who is now taking it slow with only $34 in profit.

So far we didn’t see any major blunders, showing that after Week 1 traders are more conscious of the risk they are taking.

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Group D

Group D is dominated by bernardbulletin. A strong contender for the best trade of the day, they made it big trading NY-07 Democratic primary. With $804 in profit, they can be almost certain to finish in the first place and collect 15 points, adding to the 12 they collected last week.

In the second place we have PROPHET (ie. me!) and just behind me we have the last week’s winner, green, who has a modest profit of $32.

We hope that bernardbulletin’s stellar performance won’t discourage other traders from trying to challenge them for the top spot.

Group E

Mirza continues to dominate Group E. After winning Week 1, they continue their exceptional performance trading World Cup markets for over $300 profit in two days of trading.

Behind him we have Pristine10 with $37 in profit. Other two traders, picklepredictor and n0rulesnvr, are in the red. Inactive traders in this group should take the opportunity to go in and take the easy points!

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Group F

Group F has CoffeLover_pm in the lead. They made majority of their profits trading NYC Democratic Congressional primaries and now sit comfortably in the first place with $253 in profit.

In the second place we have hhumpsfps, however for now they are flagged for review. Behind them we have Arrth with only $43 in profit.

The last week’s winner, Fuentes99, is having a bad week. They are in the last place, but they lost only $84 - we see them being able to easily challenge the leaders considering their performance in Week 1.

Group G

Group G has only three active traders, but it is extremely volatile. Rex416, who was in the last place yesterday, is now safely in the first place with $661 in profit. They made it big trading NYC Democratic Congressional primary.

In the second place we have Kween, a weather trader. The leaderboard is closed by xeny-, the last week’s winner with only $39 in profit.

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Group H

Mask4che is once again leading Group H after successfully predicting weather across the globe.

The other two podium places, aenews and Protrade, didn’t really trade in the last 24 hours making room for inactive traders to come in and get these points.

At the same time, HilelTheElder, a strong contender for the worst trade of the day, lost over $200 predicting England vs Ghana World Cup game. We hope to see this losing streak end soon!

Group I

HiveMapper533 managed to keep their lead, but 0xd1namit is only $1 behind them. The third place, luish, is just $7 behind the top two.

Despite the low P&L, Group I is now extremely competitive. With top 3 traders being within $8 of each other, a single trade can decide who will get the top spot and who will lose their chance to advance to the knockout stage.

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Group J

Sonix continues to lead Group J with $332 in profit. They are closely followed by PeterParker3Hive, with $277 in profit. Both traders managed to avoid big losses, contrary to the last week’s winner, BeefSlayer_.

BeefSlayer_ has a volatile week - they briefly occupied the top spot, only to fall back to the third place, only $1 ahead of surfer in the 4th.

The last 3 days will be extremely competitive in this group.

Group K

Group K holds the title for the most traders in the red, including our winner of the worst trade of the day, UnyieldingGrit.

However, there are two worthy traders - WeatherOnly and atteonthephone, both weather traders with over $200 in profit. I can also safely say now that weather traders are completely dominating the tournament, even though we have the World Cup going on. Seemingly even the biggest sporting event in the world is not enough for sports traders to beat weather traders.

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Group L

Group L is the least competitive in the whole tournament with only three traders active. Additionally, only two of them are in the profit.

Thonka leads the group with just $25 to their name. It’s a perfect opportunity for all the inactive traders to challenge thonka and get these points!

Wrap Up

After a slow start, Day 2 proved to be extremely competitive, with HondaCivic more than tripling their starting bankroll. However we still have some easy Groups where inactive traders can come in and challenge the leaders.

Do you think the leaders can keep their spots? Or do you see inactive traders coming in big at the end of the week to try and take the points by making one big trade? Let us know in the comments.

See you tomorrow for another HIVE World Cup Recap!

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This is not official investment or life advice. Do your own research. These are only my opinions and I encourage anyone to do their own research before putting any money anywhere.

Hey traders! We are after Day 1 of the Week 2 of the group phase. We are off to a slow start, but some traders have already made it big (or lost it big)!

On the top of the leaderboard there are a lot of familiar names, but we do have some new appearances. Can they keep it up this week? Or will we them drop it at some point?

Let’s do a quick recap of the last 24 hours and find out.

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Quick Rules Summary

Traders are now competing in the group phase, in three weekly round. They start every round with a fresh $500 and are ranked against their group by that round's profit. Where they finish earns points — top 10 score, everyone else gets 0.

After 3 weeks, top two traders out of each group (and eight best traders from the third place) advance to knockouts.

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Best Trade of the Day

The best trade of the day goes to sonix, as there is some technical problem with ithinkthisisgod.

Sonix started off strong predicting correctly that Argentina will win with Austria, for a cool $243. Congrats!

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Worst Trade of the Day

The worst trade of the day goes to shiny, who managed to lose $268 on Norway vs Senegal World Cup game.

Not all is lost though. We hope to see shiny shine in the next 4 days!

Group Standings

Group A

Group A started off strong. Last week’s leader, 0X357 had a strong start, only to run it all back and end up in the 5th place with $35 profit.

In the first place we have Joker_Poly with $182 in profit already, trading the World Cup and AI markets.

In the second place we have a new appearance. Levi is focusing on the World Cup markets, recently making $109 predicting Japan vs Turkey spread. The third place belongs to penguin_pmkt who made over $100 predicting Starmer resignation.

Overall, all the traders are still very close to each other and everything can happen by the end of Week 2.

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Group B

In the meantime, Group B is off to a slow start. We have only two traders active, with HotSkulll in the lead with just $11 in profit.

More interesting though is the case of 0xAmad, who has already managed to lose $156. Majority of the losses comes from a single market: trading over/under on Argentina vs Austria World Cup game, where 0xAmad managed to lose $109.

But we still have 4 days to go and who knows, maybe they can redeem themselves.

Group C

In Group C we can already see some familiar names at the top of the leaderboard. ClydeCash is leading the group with $24 in profit. They continue their strong performance on the World Cup markets.

In the second place we have a new face. ChudTrades has $13 in profit after successfully predicting that Giannis Antetokounmpo won’t play for Boston Celtics in the next NBA season. In the third place we have whiggeries who is off to a slow start after finishing third overall in Week 1.

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Group D

After the first 24 hours there’s barely anything to cover in Group D. Green, the last week’s leader, is down $1 suggesting that we are yet to see any big action.

For now, bernardbulletin is leading the group with just below $10 in profit to his name.

Group E

Same can be said about Group E, where we only have two traders active, both in the red!

However, they are down less than $20 and we are ye to see first trades from last week’s leaders. For now picklepredictor leads the group with -$16 P&L.

We hope to have more to cover in tomorrow’s recap.

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Group F

In Group F we finally have more action. CoffeLover_pm is leading the group with $26 to their name, followed by a new appearance, czxc319861 with $20 P&L.

In the third place we have Arrth who finished second last week. However, the most interesting things happened at the bottom of the leaderboard. Last week’s winner, Fuentes99 has already lost $179 on the World Cup markets.

We hope to see Fuentes99 close the gap as Week 2 has only started.

Group G

Group G has some mistake in the leaderboard, as ithinkthisisgod has not in fact made $1,138 in a single trade after checking their profile. We hope to see the Hive team resolve this issue soon.

Other than that, the group is off to a slow start with two other traders losing over $150 in a single day.

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Group H

Group H is lead by a well-know trader, aenews, who’s made almost $18 in the first 24 hours.

However, the most interesting results are on the other side of the leaderboard. Two traders - HilelTheElder and Mask4che - have already managed to lose over $150. Bad days happen, especially on the weather markets so we expect Mask4che to climb up in the next 4 days.

Group I

Group I has some familiar names at the top of the leaderboard. Luish is in the lead, with $16 to their name, followed closely by HiveMapper533, the last week’s leader.

On the bottom of the leaderboard, though, we have shiny, who’s already managed to lose $315, proving that it’s easy to bet big, but a lot harder to win big. Their biggest loss was from trading spread in Norway vs Senegal World Cup game, where they gave back $268

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Group J

Group J, contrary to the last few, proves to be extremely competitive. It already has three traders with over $150 in profit.

Sonix leads the pack with $314 to their name after correctly predicting individual players’ goals in the World Cup. They are followed by PeterParker3Hive, who is trading sports and mentions markets. Finally, the third place belongs to the last week’s overall leader, BeefSlayer_, who currently has $154 in profit.

On the bottom of the leaderboard we have Hans323, who’s already managed to lose $287 trading weather markets.

Group K

We have no changes at the top of the leaderboard in Group K. WeatherOnly continues to beat everyone with consistent weather predictions.

On the other side of the leaderboard we have technical error with 0xFudrick. We hope to see it fixed by tomorrow.

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Group L

Finally, it’s also been a slow start for Group L, where only two traders are active, both with over $50 in losses. You need to pump those number up guys!

Wrap Up

That’s all for today. We hope to see a lot more trades in the next 24 hours. Depending o the time zone, traders had only a few hours to trade - we shall see more action after today, especially with such a strong game calendar:

See you tomorrow for another HIVE World Cup Recap!

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This is not official investment or life advice. Do your own research. These are only my opinions and I encourage anyone to do their own research before putting any money anywhere.

Hey traders! PROPHET NOTES is cooperating with HIVE on the HIVE World Cup tournament. Outside of daily recaps, we are also doing weekly summaries of trading rounds with:

• Best Trade of the Week

• Worst Trade of the Week

• Group Standings

and more as we advance to later stages of the tournament.

The first week gave us a lot to work with. Some traders 3x-ed their bankroll, while others managed to lose it all in one trade. However, this week’s losers can be next week’s winners. The format with three weekly rounds allows for more risk and chances are we will have wildly different table a week from now.

But for now, let’s see who made a name for themselves in round 1.

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Quick Rules Summary

Traders are now competing in the group phase, in three weekly round. They start every round with a fresh $500 and are ranked against their group by that round's profit. Where they finish earns points — top 10 score, everyone else gets 0.

After 3 weeks, top two traders out of each group (and eight best traders from the third place) advance to knockouts.

Subscribe now

Best Trade of the Week

The best trade of the week title belongs to Airdropper2. Despite finishing 4th, they made it big trading Iran markets on the very first day and managed to keep the first spot in the leaderboard in Group B for the whole week. Congrats!

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Worst Trade of the Week

The worst trade of the week goes to failstonerPM. They waited the whole week to make the one big trade and failed, as per the nickname:

Not only did they lose it all, but also they are competing in the least competitive Group L. Being breakeven there was enough to secure the podium, making this single trade probably the worst decision of the week.

We hope to see better decision this week!

Group Standings

Group A

The winner of the first week of trading in Group A is 0X357. This weather trader has been very consistent and managed to more than 3x their bankroll with $1,002 in profit.

The second place belongs to MoralOrel, who’s been trading a variety of political and culture markets for $724 profit. Finally, the podium is closed by Need10kdollors, a new addition to the leaderboard. They’ve been predicting World Cup games exclusively, making $632 in just 3 trades.

Group A has been extremely competitive. With such extreme results though, we might see a lot of volatility coming into Week 2.

Who’s your favorite in this group?

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Group B

Another extremely competitive group. So much so, that the winner of the last Hive Tournament, Mosesfan, is only 6th!

However, the winning strategy of the top 3 revolved around making a one big trade, rather than consistent, smaller predictions all throughout the week. Can they repeat their success in Week 2? We’ll see.

The winner of Week 1, Airdropper2, has made it big on the very first day and decided to play it safe. Same goes for our second place, Brokie, who needed only one trade in the middle of the week. The third place goes to PolyTrader2026, who needed to predict just 2 World Cup games to secure the spot.

Group C

Group C has some of the most consistent traders in the Week 1, whiggeries. They made $958 across 10 markets, trading solely politics. An impressive performance, epsecially since other trader sat the top focus mostly on the World Cup, weather or esports.

The second place belongs to ClydeCash, who traded a wide selection of markets. Almost $400 behind is ibelievethatwewillwinplease, another example of manifestation that trades mostly World Cup markets.

And when it comes to consistency, MuddyRC is an example of one, but in a bad way. They managed to lose every single prediction they made, erasing 100% of the bankroll in Week 1. We hope to see their luck turn in Week 2.

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Group D

Group D belongs to green, who after making it big, correctly decided to play it safe and cash in their profit for 15 points. The second place belongs to bernardbulletin, who managed to narrowly overtake TSPoodle in the last day of trading. After a mediocre performance trading politics, he made it predicting the World Cup to beat TSPoodle, a trader who focused on mentions markets.

It’s a rather uneventful group compared to previous ones, but who knows… Maybe Week 2 will bring a lot of surprises.

Group E

Group E is another mellow group, where only the top 2 made some serious profit. Week 1 belongs to Mirza, who needed only one big trade to secure the win. They’ve been exclusively trading World Cup markets.

Second place belongs to n0rulesnvr, who traded Makersfield by-election for $122 in profit. Lastly, the third place belongs to prof1novich, whose $15 in profit from one weather market was enough to secure the podium.

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Group F

Another competitive group, although on a bit smaller scale. Here, a battle for the first place ended at the very end, with Fuentes99 overtaking Arrth in the last hours of trading. Congrats, his sports-focused strategy beat Arrth’s generalist approach.

The third spot belongs to CoffeLover_pm, who’s also been trading sports.

On the other side of the leaderboard we have XPredicter, who managed to lose it all in the very first day. We hope to see their fortunes turn this week!

Group G

Group G is an extremely interesting case. Not only do we have a trader in the third place with a negative P&L, but also we have Rex416, who fell from the first place to the fifth, losing $651 from their ATH in the process!

Thus the winner of Group G is xeny-, who made majority of his bankroll trading esports markets in the very first day of the tournament. The second place belongs to Kween, a weather trader. The third place, with a stunning -$122 P&L, belongs to a well-know trader mangolassi-hive.

And an honorable mention goes to TheGreekTraderHive, who despite losing his entire bankroll, managed to get 5 points in the first round.

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Group H

In Group H, Mask4che has kept us on the edge of our seats as his volatile performance almost left him at the fourth place. But in the last hours, he managed to make it back to the first - weather trading can be extremely volatile!

The second place in this group belongs to a well-know trader aenews, who made it big on the Toy Story 5 box office market. The third place belongs to Protrade, a weather trader ho managed to beat HilelTheElder by just $2.

We expect a lot from this Group this week.

Group I

Group I started a bit slow, but it ended up being quite volatile. The second-place-holder from Day 1, shiny, ended up being dead last with almost 90% of their bankroll erased.

But we had little doubt on who will win the group. HiveMapper533 has held the top spot all throughout the week and is cashing in 15 points with almost $350 in profit.

The second place belongs to probabilitygod, who after a slow start, made it big on Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment market. The third place belongs to GodRama_, who made it back to green in the last hours of trading.

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Group J

Group J without a doubt belongs to BeefSlayer_, the overall winner of Week 1. This weather trader has been on a roll since the start and the first spot is surely well-deserved.

The group overall had stellar performance, with 8 traders in the green. The remaining podium spots though belong to sonix and Foster, both with over $400 in profit to their names.

Despite a slow start, it turned out to be an extremely competitive group. We hope to see more amazing trading from them in Week 2!

Group K

Group K also belongs to a weather trader. With an unambiguous nick, WeatherOnly made over $440 and won 15 points in Week1.

The second place belongs to Splunksy, who traded a wide variety of markets. Just $8 behind them is 0xFudrick, with $256 to their name.

And an honorable mention goes to choppahG, who tried to make it big in the last day and lost it all in the process. We hope to see you back in Week 2 with better luck!

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Group L

Finally, in Group L, we had some last minute developments. OnlyLuckNoBrain lost his top spot to PMKFund, but they did manage to hold the second spot with only $21 in profit. The third spot belongs to raffu with a very unimpressive performance as they lost $0.4 throughout the whole week.

The most unexpected performance though belongs to failstonerPM, who lost $466 in a single trade, trying to predict Ecuador – Curaçao World Cup Game

Wrap Up

What a week it was! But HIVE World Cup is only starting. We hope to see a lot of volatility in Week 2 as the top traders will try to maintain their position, while other will go big in hopes to turn their fortunes.

See you tomorrow for another HIVE World Cup Recap!

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This is not official investment or life advice. Do your own research. These are only my opinions and I encourage anyone to do their own research before putting any money anywhere.

Hey traders! PROPHET NOTES is cooperating with HIVE on the HIVE World Cup tournament. From now on, until the end of the tournament, you can expect a daily coverage of:

• Best Trade of the Day

• Worst Trade of the Day

• Group Standings

and more as we advance to later stages of the tournament.

It was a wild day. We had some very close contenders for the best and the worst trade of the day as traders are trying as hard as they can to secure points before the first round is over. Let’s do a quick recap of the last 24 hours.

Subscribe now

Quick Rules Summary

Traders are now competing in the group phase, in three weekly round. They start every round with a fresh $500 and are ranked against their group by that round's profit. Where they finish earns points — top 10 score, everyone else gets 0.

After 3 weeks, top two traders out of each group (and eight best traders from the third place) advance to knockouts.

Subscribe now

Best Trade of the Day

The best trade of the day goes to Brokie. Probably tired of mediocre results, he went almost all in on Mexico to win with South Korea and made over $500 to put him in the top 6 best traders.

Sometimes you just need a bit of luck.

Congrats!

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Worst Trade of the Day

The worst trade of the day belongs to kemuruu_, who managed to erase 90% of his starting bankroll in a single day, dropping from a second position in his group to dead last.

In a single trade, he lost $487 wrongly predicting Czechia vs South Africa game.

Group Standings

Group A

It was a bad day for 0X357 in Group A. With an underwhelming day on the weather markets, he got passed by Joker_Poly, who made $91 on the Toy Story 5 Box Office market.

In the last days of the first round we can expect the top 4 to jostle for the top spots to secure some advantage coming into the second round.

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Group B

In Group B we have a new trader in the second spot. Brokie, our winner of the best trade of the day, went big on Mexico to win with South Korea, pocketing over $500 and securing a second position.

Other traders went mostly flat on the day.

Group C

Group C has been extremely volatile in the last 24 hours. Kemuruu_, who was in the second place with $276 in profit is now dead last, erasing 90% of his starting bankroll.

He lost it all trading the World Cup. Turns out he couldn’t keep up the pace.

Thanks to that, PityokH started his redemption arc!

The top spot still belongs to ClydeCash. He’s been predicting Elon tweets and mentions markets. On the second place we have whiggeries, who is only $2 behind him after trading Starmer out by June 30th market.

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Group D

Group D remains rather uneventful. Green and TSPoodle are occupying the top two spots with little chances of losing them. They seem to understand that as they are now trying to play it safe and cash in their points.

Group E

Group E is also playing it safe. The top trader yesterday, n0rulesnvr, made $45 trading the Makerfield by-election.

Mirza is still safe in the first place though, with $464 profit to his name. Seems like a lot of traders placed in the top 3 in their groups decided to play it safe and try to cash in their points without much trading.

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Group F

In Group F the top 3 is leaving other traders behind. While Arrth, Fuentes99 and CoffeLover_pm all made a fair profit yesterday, others have had a checkered performance.

Will we see a repeat in round 2? Or can the other traders catch up and battle for points? We shall see soon enough.

Group G

Among its narrow group, Group G has some polar opposites. On the one hand we have Rex416, who continues to print on political and esports markets.

On the other hand we have TheGreekTraderHive, a close second in the worst trade of the day contest. He lost the remainder of his bankroll predicting that Trump won’t withdraw troops from the Iran region.

Tough luck. But we hope to see him redeem himself in the second round.

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Group H

In Group H, Mask4che continues his volatile ascent and after a series of ups and downs, he has a cool $520 in profit to his name.

Seeing his performance, other traders seem to have accepted that there’s no use chasing him and are comfortable in their spots.

Group I

However, not every trader decided to throw in the towel. In Group I we had quite a reshuffling. HiveMapper533 has barely clung to his lead after he lost $291 on Canada vs Qatar game.

At the same time, probabilitygod, another well-know trader on X, made $125 in a single day, mostly trading Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment market. Congrats!

Additionally, the second-place-holder after the first day of trading, shiny, continues his descent and lost another $157 on Mexico vs South Korea game. What a volatile group!

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Group J

Group J is still dominated by BeefSlayer_ who added a bit to his stellar profits and now sits on $848 P&L. However, we have a new trader in the second place, sonix.

A close second in the best trade of the day prize, he put his entire bankroll on the O/U 2.5 on the Bosnia vs Switzerland World Cup game.

The third place belongs to Hans323, who fell from second to make room for sonix. The yesterday’s third place, Gena The Bond Killer, lost $57 predicting Czechia vs South Africa game and sits now on 7th.

Group K

The top 3 traders in Group K continue their great performance. Splunksy, WeatherOnly and 0xFudrick all have different market focus, but it seems to be working for them.

The rest of the group has now little chances of catching up.

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Group L

Group L continues its very unexpected performance, with OnlyLuckNoBrain comfortably in the first spot with only $53 in profit. The only question now is if he can keep it up in the remaining rounds.

Wrap Up

It was a volatile day for some, but we can slowly see who was simply lucky and who has the skill to go far in the HIVE World Cup. Do you have your favorites? Comment who you think has it to be the champion and we will highlight the most interesting traders in the weekly summary!

See you tomorrow for another HIVE World Cup Recap!

Subscribe now

This is not official investment or life advice. Do your own research. These are only my opinions and I encourage anyone to do their own research before putting any money anywhere.

Hey traders! PROPHET NOTES is cooperating with HIVE on the HIVE World Cup tournament. From now on, until the end of the tournament, you can expect a daily coverage of:

• Best Trade of the Day

• Worst Trade of the Day

• Group Standings

and more as we advance to later stages of the tournament.

We are on day 2 and some of the traders we’ve highlighted yesterday continued their winning streak. We also have some very unexpected performances, especially in Group L. Let’s do a quick recap of the last 24 hours.

Subscribe now

Quick Rules Summary

Traders are now competing in the group phase, in three weekly round. They start every round with a fresh $500 and are ranked against their group by that round's profit. Where they finish earns points — top 10 score, everyone else gets 0.

After 3 weeks, top two traders out of each group (and eight best traders from the third place) advance to knockouts.

Subscribe now

Best Trade of the Day

The best trade of the day goes to MoralOrel. He bought Trump to physically sign the USxIran MOU for only 2.8c and held it all the way to 99.9c for a cool $307 profit. He is now the leader of the highly competitive Group A.

Congrats!

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Worst Trade of the Day

The worst trade of the day goes to PityokH, another weather trader. Not only did he manage to lose $191 predicting the highest temperature in the NYC, he didn’t manage to have a single good trade since the tournament started.

Let’s hope it’s just negative variance and PityokH can make it back in the next days.

Group Standings

Group A

Group A continues to be extremely competitive, with two traders more than doubling their starting bankroll already.

MoralOrel, our best trade of the day winner is closely followed by 0X357, who continues to predicting the highest temperatures across the world with an amazing precision.

HondaCivic also deserves an honorable mention. A well-known weather trader lost almost 10% of his bankroll on the first day, only to run it back to a $200 profit. Can he win Group A? We’ll see, but he’s on a great track to challenge the top two spots.

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Group B

Group B is full of contrasts. At the top we have airdropper2, the overall leader of the tournament who is sitting comfortably with his $905 in profit already! It seems that his strategy now is to wait it out and cash in the 15 points for winning the first week.

Behind him, there’s a fierce competition for the second place between HotSkulll and WCjavi. The former is trying his best on a selection of AI markets while the latter is trading on weather markets.

With a few days till the end of the first round, they are hoping to catch airdropper2, but the time is short.

Group C

Group C sports PityokH, the winner of the worst trade of the day. However, at the top of the table there’s a fierce competition between ClydeCash, kemuruu_ and whiggeries, all with over $150 in profit already.

Kemuruu_ made it big on England to win with Croatia, cashing in $136 on a single trade. Can he keep it up, or will he give back the second spot to whiggeries, who tries to make it trading political markets?

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Group D

Group D continues to be fairly silent, with only 5 traders fighting for points to qualify. Green, with over $570 profit to his name, sits comfortably at the top spot.

Green continued his strategy of swing trading volatile markets, increasing his profits from Claude Fable market to $331. He’s currently on the 7th place overall as he continues to make a name for himself.

Group E

Group E continues to be a one man show, with 0xmirza chilling in the first position. He made only (sic!) $50 since yesterday, but it was more than enough to maintain his lead.

However, he may be in for a surprise. Group E is the only group with every trader in profit, suggesting that his competition is not giving up. Chadtarded is a trader to watch here. Despite being in the 7th spot, he already proved he can make it big trading World Cup markets. Who knows, maybe tomorrow we will cover him for the best trade of the day?

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Group F

Group F already has one less contender, after XPredicter erased his entire bankroll in the first day. However, there is a fierce competition at the top.

Outside of the leader, Arrth, who consistently trades a wide selection of markets, CoffeLover_pm and EWaves are traders to watch. The former has been trading great, outside of a hiccup on the Portugal-DR Congo game. The latter is a mentions markets trader, who after a slow start, is climbing the leaderboard with outmatched consistency.

Group G

Group G is the one we should expect more from. It sports some of the most popular traders like mangolassi-hive and TheGreekTraderHive. But the pole position belongs to Rex416, who made it big predicting Counter Strike game winner and now has $235 in profit.

However, with such a strong competition he cannot feel safe yet.

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Group H

Group H is dominated by Mask4che, a weather trader who had a rough day yesterday, but managed to keep his lead. His Shenzen highest temperature trade almost got him the best trade of the day title.

Another trader to watch in this group is Protrade who managed to avoid big losses and is slowly climbing the profit ladder.

Group I

The one person that really leaves the rest behind is HiveMapper533. He kept his lead and made another $80 yesterday trading politics and sports.

However, the rest of the group avoided big losses and is only one big trade away from catching up.

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Group J

BeefSlayer_ leads Group J and is in the second place overall with $817 in profit as he continues his stellar performance trading weather markets. A very consistent performance across various weather markets, with a single win not exceeding $100.

He can be comfortable in the 1st place, but when it comes to the second, we have Hans323 and Gena The Bond Killer, a well-known Polymarket trader, battling for the second place.

Hans323 is yet another weather trader. With daily temperature markets, this competition is a place where they can shine. Gena, in the meantime, runs a more timid strategy, with his biggest win being $30 on Czechia to win with South Africa in the World Cup game.

Group K

In Group K, Splunksy continues to hold the top spot, but he only made $11 yesterday. In the meantime, 0xFudrick made $58 yesterday, trading mostly Nottingham Open tennis.

Just behind him is WeatherOnly, who made almost $80 yesterday trading weather. We expect Group K to be in a fierce competition for the top spot as the first round slowly approaches its end.

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Group L

Group L is definitely the least competitive one, with OnlyLuckNoBrain living up to his name and leading the virtually empty group with only $45 profit.

Comfortable, focused, in his lane, he is trading weather markets and not taking any unnecessary risks. He manifested his victory through his name. It pays to be lucky.

Wrap Up

We are on day 2 and most of the winners from day 1 managed to keep up their performance. Will anything change after today? We will see.

See you tomorrow for another HIVE World Cup Recap!

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Hey traders! PROPHET NOTES is cooperating with HIVE on the HIVE World Cup tournament. From now on, until the end of the tournament, you can expect a daily coverage of:

• Best Trade of the Day

• Worst Trade of the Day

• Group Standings

and more as we advance to later stages of the tournament.

It’s been only one day, but some traders have already more than 2x-ed their bankroll! It shapes up to be a very volatile and interesting event so let’s do a quick recap of the last 24 hours.

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Quick Rules Summary

Traders are now competing in the group phase, in three weekly round. They start every round with a fresh $500 and are ranked against their group by that round's profit. Where they finish earns points — top 10 score, everyone else gets 0.

After 3 weeks, top two traders out of each group (and eight best traders from the third place) advance to knockouts.

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Best Trade of the Day

The best trade of the day goes to airdropper2. He correctly predicted that Iran will close its airspace, buying into that trade below 20c. Airdropper2 made a cool $600 on this trade, giving him a pole position across all traders:

Congrats!

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Worst Trade of the Day

This title goes to XPredicter. He bought Over 1.5 in the 1st half of the France-Senegal World Cup game. With only one trade, he managed to lose a staggering $437, essentially erasing his chances in the first week of the group stage.

Hopefully, he can redeem himself in the next 2 weeks.

Group Standings

Group A

Group A proved to be extremely competitive with 6 traders turning a profit in the first 24 hours of the tournament.

However, the pole position is flagged for cheating as his positions exceed the $500 cap all traders had to start with. Remember to respect the rules! Edit: it was a bug and 0X357 is in fact in the pole position, successfully trading weather markets!

The second place belongs to Joker_Poly. Joker trades a wide selection of markets, but his biggest win comes from correctly predicting that we won’t see the text of the Iran MOU by June 16th. This single trade made him $100, almost half of his total profits.

The biggest loser of the day is Pisko, a weather trader who lost almost $75 predicting temperatures in Huston. Maybe today will prove to be better for him. We are keeping our fingers crossed.

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Group B

Another extremely competitive group. Not only do we have here Airdropper2, who had the best trade of the day, but also Mosesfan, the winner of the previous HIVE tournament.

However, the biggest shocker comes from backtracker. After raking in some quick wins, he managed to lose his entire bankroll of $877 trading over/under on Portugal-DR Congo World Cup game.

Fortunes turn quickly in HIVE World Cup. You are always one trade away from greatness (or failure, as in this case).

Group C

Group C has another trader who made it big in the last HIVE tournament, nicoco89poly, sitting now at the 3rd place. However, it is ClydeCash who managed to profit over $272 and now has the top spot.

He made $180 swing trading the Iran MOU text release market and $75 trading Kevin Warsh mention markets.

The biggest 24h loss belongs to PityokH, who must have watched a really bad weather forecast for yesterday. Hopefully he can turn things around in the next 6 days.

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Group D

Group D is more mellow, with only 4 traders completing a single trade since the tournament has started. While me and 2 other traders made only minimal gains and losses, green is on a rip making almost $250.

He is probably the most consistent trader we’ve covered, making his profits across a wide selection of markets. His biggest win was Claude Fable market, where he made $25 correctly predicting a continued US ban of the model.

Group E

Group E has only one outlier. 0xmirza made over $460 and sits comfortably at the pole position. He made almost all of it on a single trade: a spread: Austria(-1.5) where he went on with almost all of his bankroll.

The next days will prove if he can repeat this feat.

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Group F

Group F has our laureate of the worst trade of the day. But it also has some gems, with CoffeeLover_pm making almost $240 to date.

He’s made a bulk of his profit trading various World Cup games and a Makerfield by-election in the UK, searching for +EV trades across all categories.

Group G

Group G has the well-know TheGreekTraderHive, who surprisingly lost almost $220 in a single day! He went big on Portugal winning with DR Congo, a game that ended up in a draw. Tough luck:

The pole position belongs to xeny-. He correctly identified the winner of the League of Legends Asia Masters Playoff for a cool $162 profit.

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Group H

Group H belongs to Mask4che, who after a day of trading sits at $404 profit. He’s a weather trader who’s already made 67 predictions!

As you can see, there are multiple ways to make it big, but there’s only one way to lose it all. Choose your strategy wisely.

Group I

Group I has 2 traders that really left the field behind: HiveMapper533 with $181 in profit and shiny with $113 in profit.

HiveMapper533 is trading the World Cup and politics, with his biggest wins coming from predicting Republican Senate Primary in Alabama and the winner of France-Senegal game yesterday.

Shiny’s profits come exclusively from trading the World Cup, with the biggest gain totaling $74.

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Group J

BeefSlayer_ really left everyone behind, raking in over $530 in profit since yesterday. He’s another weather trader, who made it big on the NYC highest temperature market.

On the other side of the table, LinaBell lost over $230 trading against Hakeem Jeffries to win his Democratic Primary.

Group K

Another competitive group, with three traders making over $100, and a fourth with $91 profit.

Splunsky got his pole position by correctly predicting Iran closing its airspace, netting almost $330 from that trade.

On the other side of the table we have hivetourney, who lost almost $200 trading Portugal-DR Congo game. Looking at how often this one game appeared today, it was quite a setup for a lot of traders who saw Portugal as a clear favorite.

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Group L

The last group is mostly dormant for now. However, one trader there managed to lose almost entire bankrol in the first 24h.

Thonka lost it all incorrectly predicting that the draft text of the Iran MOU won’t be published by end of day today. Unlucky.

Wrap Up

It’s been only day 1 and we already have huge winners and huge losers. Can the winners keep their streak? We’ll see soon enough.

See you tomorrow for another HIVE World Cup Recap!

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