Hey traders! It’s been a crazy day. Since yesterday a lot of traders have made some risky trades. With less than two days left, they must have felt that it is the last moment to make it big.
Some have managed to absolutely kill it, while others lost it all in the process. If I had to point to one market that made the most difference, it’s the US vs Belgium World Cup game. After an incredible run by America, losing 4-1 to Belgium came as a shock, not only for the players, but also for traders.
With 24 hours left let’s see who made it big!
Quick Rules Summary
Finalists go 1v1, seeded by group score. Both traders reset to $500 for a short head-to-head window; whoever makes more profit advances. Single elimination, until one champion is left.
Best Trade of the Day
The best trade of the day title goes to Maskache. He made $1,276 predicting the highest temperature in Shenzhen. Only wether traders can make so much in such a short time.
Congrats!
Worst Trade of the Day
The worst trade of the day title goes to Mirza:
Despite enjoying a $311 lead over his opponent, this trader decided to risk it all on the US vs Belgium World Cup game and is left with nothing as a result.
While he needs to bid farewell to the tournament, he is leaving with a respectable $500 in profit from the tournament. Congrats!
Round of 32
Mirza vs PROPHET
In a surprising turn of events, Mirza lost his lead and is now $493 in the red, effectively losing his entire bankroll! While I’ve been inactive, Mirza traded the US vs Belgium World Cup game, predicting that the US will win.
While I admire the confidence, Belgium bested the host and with 24 hours of trading left, I’m in the lead!
Maskache vs Mosesfan
Maskache had a killer day on prediction markets. He went as high as $3,000 in profit, to finally settle at $1,316. Weather trading, while volatile, is an extremely lucrative strategy for some of the traders we see in the tournament.
Mosesfan, with no edge in weather markets, can do little to achieve such a great result. With a very respectable $158 in profit from just three days of trading, he will need to wave goodbye to the tournament soon.
Raskell vs CoffeeLover_pm
CoffeLover_pm and Raskell have both been trading World Cup markets to try and get an advantage. Both ended up going head to head for majority of the time, more than tripling their starting bankroll in the process. In the last couple of hours, however, CoffeLover_pm fell behind Raskell, who now has a staggering $1,683 in profit to top the global leaderboard.
It’s a truly astonishing performance from both traders. It feels like a foretaste of the final! It will be a shame to bid farewell to either one of them.
0X357 vs PMKFund
0X357, contrary to Mirza from the first duel, knew when to take it easy. After making $1,234 predicting weather across the world, he stopped trading as PMKFund is inactive and extremely unlikely to make up the difference.
With 24 hours to go some of the duels already have a clear winner.
BeefSlayer_ vs 0xd1namit
BeefSlayer_ is another weather trader who has absolutely dominated the tournament. 0xd1namit had a great run, and there’s probably nothing more that I can say that he hasn’t said himself:
bernardbulletin vs Splunksy
Bernardbulletin is proving that he is a versatile trader. After a dismal start, bernardbulletin, lacking his favorite election markets, has focused on mention markets. He managed to reverse his fortune and doubled the starting bankroll in the process.
Splunksy probably thought that $245 profit is enough to cruise to the Round of 16. After all, he’s been inactive since yesterday. Now, however, he will need to turn back to weather markets in hopes he can make enough to overtake bernardbulletin.
aenews vs wisechinamann
After meeting on the opposite side of one trade, wisechinamann opted for patience as he had over $200 lead over aenews. However, the OG trader managed to cut the lead down to $60.
This is a gap that can be easily closed. The last 24 hours will be crucial for this duel and we will only know the winner once the round ends.
Fuentes 99 vs xeny-
Both xeny- and Fuentes99 are inactive after the latter made $193 in the first day. It looks like xeny- has just forfeited the duel, but who knows, maybe the last 24 hours will bring us a surprise.
sonix vs thonka
sonix is the second trader today to have lost it all on the US vs Belgium World Cup game. Traders put the US as a slight favorite, while in the end Belgium won 4-1, absolutely dominating the game.
In the meantime, thonka is slowly building their P&L and can be sure now to advance to the Round of 16.
Rex416 vs attenonthephone
atteonthephone and Rex416 were very close to each other yesterday. However, the weather gods were not kind to atteonthephone as he has lost $850 since the last recap.
It’s one of few duels in which a weather trader got bested.
WeatherOnly vs green
green remains inactive, thus WeatherOnly is taking it easy and securing his place in the Round of 16.
Kween vs whiggeries
Same can be said about this duel. While whiggeries is active, his $25 in profit is well short of Kween, another weather trader with $461 in profit.
I see very little chance of change here.
n0rulesnvr vs HondaCivic
n0rulesnvr is doing his best, but being matched against a top weather trader like HondaCivic is tough:
Based on this X post we can expect HondaCivic to advance to the Round of 16. However, n0rulesnvr had a great run in this tournament. Congrats!
PeterParker3Hive vs OnlyLuckNoBrain
This duel has concluded yesterday after PeterParker3Hive lost it all. OnlyLuckNoBrain has an extended break ahead of the Round of 16.
Arrth vs ClydeCash
ClydeCash, after a dismal performance in Week 3, is back on the top. With $219 in profit from trading World Cup markets he’s well ahead of Arrth.
Arrth is trying his luck on various markets, but it seems that the gap might be too wide to bridge.
strider_pm vs Joker_Poly
Situation remains unchanged in the last duel. I think we can say that it’s Joker_Poly who will advance to the Round of 16 as strider_pm remains inactive and $436 behind Joker_Poly.
Wrap Up
That’s all for today! With 24 hours to go some duels seem to have already resolved. With such a fast pace of the tournament it’s only logical that some traders are willing to risk it all to advance to the next stage.
However, some matchups are still going head to head so see you tomorrow for another HIVE World Cup Recap!
This is not official investment or life advice. Do your own research. These are only my opinions and I encourage anyone to do their own research before putting any money anywhere.