PROPHET NOTES

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I Bet On War

I Bet On War

Something Does Happen After All

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PROPHET - Prediction Markets
Jun 25, 2025
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PROPHET NOTES
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I Bet On War
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Iran: How Ayatollah Khamenei became its most powerful man - BBC News
Source: BBC

Each time a major event starts, seemingly everyone is an expert on it. This week was full of geopolitics experts, each with their own opinion on the Iran-Israel war. Depending on who’s your pundit of choice you could hear anything, from Israel totally obliterating Iran to Iran having full air superiority over Israel (sic!).

Some of them are obviously more right than others. But the truth is that no one on social media has the full picture. Sure, you have a few missiles videos circulating, but other than that what you see is war propaganda.

Call it as you like, the “fog of war” makes us unable to clearly see and assess the developments on the ground. We can have our suspicions, we can trust one war propaganda more than the other based on what we know about each country and their military.

But in the end, does it really matter? Well, unless you are in the Middle East, the operational details on the ground have no significance. What does matter though is what will happen.

The main question that everyone wants to ask is not how many missiles did Iran fire. It’s not even “who will win?”. It’s rather “what does victory mean?” and “what are the global consequences of possible developments?”.

And these are the things we can forecast. Wether you are a doomer (why though, please enjoy life), an Israel supporter or a pacifist, you simply want to know what will happen.

So hop on, subscribe below and see it for yourself.

Join PROPHET NOTES to get reliable and straight to the point commentary on global events. Contrary to MSM I bet on my convictions. Accountability matters.


Intro

I need to be comprehensive here. So I will do it the proper way:

  1. Context - why are we here?

  2. Current situation - where are we now?

  3. Scenarios - what’s next?

  4. Prediction markets - how you can profit from all of this.

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