I Bet Polish Average Salary on Polish Presidential Election

And I'm looking to bet more

The meme candidate. Source: Interia.pl

Another election! It’s been a while since I dabbled in elections as most of the time it is hard to have any real alpha, especially if you don’t closely follow a country’s internal affairs. But this time is different.

I am Polish so I naturally follow domestic politics here. I wouldn’t be here if I didn’t use it to my advantage. So here we are - Polish presidential election is coming. And it is a pretty consequential one.

Poland is one of the most important pieces in the Ukrainian war, being the main hub for weapon deliveries. But also it is the premiere European military and the strongest country in Eastern Europe. And the choice that Poles face is a choice between aligning with the US or EU.

Well, it was a bit of a dramatic prelude to an election analysis, but there’s a reason why Polish election is in top 10 most traded markets right now on Polymarket. So subscribe below and hop in for a journey of Polish political landscape

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Intro

The usual script here for max clarity and good conclusions:

1. Polish political system.

2. Top candidates and their platform.

3. Recent polling and up to date events.

4. Prediction markets.

Let’s go.