I’m reviving this series as a forecast update on the global events I cover. While deep dives are great for introducing a new thesis, they are not optimal for updating—often I needed to repeat large parts of a thesis in each update as deep dives are standalone content and always require context. Now, I will be able to update you on a rolling basis and build up my theses step by step.
Today I’ll focus on the Iran war and its chances of ending. The Clarity Act and Ukraine forecasts remain stable. Look at my latest update to get up to speed:
Iran
The most recent deep dive on Iran:
And a small update:
Keep reading with a 7-day free trial
Subscribe to PROPHET NOTES to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.